أنشئ حسابًا أو سجّل الدخول للانضمام إلى مجتمعك المهني.
In the next 20-30 years maybe yes but currently there is no chance for Yuan to be the main currency. US dollar presents not only the strenght of the economy (heavily indebted but still strong) but primarily transparency of the monetary policy.
If you use these criteria the Chinese economy and currency don't fulfill requirements. There are too much political interference in the economy (in the industry, financial market, etc.) and too little independence of People's Bank of China which mainly realizes the government policy.
There is also another issue, it is easier to control your currency if you can buy/sell US debt (most important variable in equation). You can exert economic pressure on US, keep them in check specially when you negotiate new trade deals with US. Artificial control of the USD/CNY is one of the success factors of chinese exporters.
I agree with experts opnions , all have discuss many aspects and they have impacts , infact China still concentrating on Growth and even Yuan is lower then dollar but stronger economy , while dollar is strong curreny but economy is not tht much strong .
The Chinese have a government controlled currency and a large portion of the economy is made of state industries. Many of the others are state subsidized
Did they really get to no. 2?
Thier statistics are in question?
All those are holding them back.
The simple answer to China not allowing free flow of currency and capital into has a significant impact to their economy.
Foreign Direct investment while adding in dollar for dollar into GDP, there is a significant impact more to that because of what is called the acceleration of money. A new plant is open, and workers are hired, more workers have disposable income. They then go to stores and spend their money at the stores. The local store owner who now has more cash, will invest and spend more in the local economy etc.
Without going into a dissertation, much of China’s data is suspect or that the growth was in building inventory of products that since in inventory including vacant cities.
Without access to foreign currencies plus limiting access of foreign money, China may be in for more of a rocky current future which in fact could lead not only to a GDP pull back, but maybe into a destabilizing situation.
Chinese Reminbi / Yuan is also used as a medium of payment in the Far East. I am of the opinion that the US Dollar do not have "real" value as it does not really have gold to back its currency.
The moment countries in Middle East unpegs its currency to the US Dollars, we will see that US Dollars will decline its values and demand.
In reality, the Chinese economy has overtaken the US economy. However China prefers to stay at number 2 for geo political reasons. I stand corrected.
China's economy is the second largest on the globe but its currency has no international acceptance because: The simple answer to China not allowing free flow of currency and capital into has a significant impact to their economy.
In addition to that In reality, the Chinese economy has overtaken the US economy. However China prefers to stay at number 2 for geo political reasons. I stand corrected.