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Firstly, you need the opportunity: a role for you to move into.
Secondly, you need to ensure that the people who will decide who will fill that role know that you wan to.
Thirdly, you need the skills to do the role.
Moving up from supervisor to manager can be quite a big jump, because a manager often needs many skills that a supervisor doesn't: for example in areas of finance. If you want to make that move, you will have to acquire the skills.
It's usually easier to make such a move within one organisation: it's relatively hard to to changee employer and role at the same time. If the organisation you are in is unlikely to facilitate it, then make a plan and move.
Notice that current job performance hasn't been mentioned yet: obviously it has to be good but it's not the most important thing.
I can summarize this at several points :-
- before all that the self skills & experience
- The right decision depending on the available information
- Good work
- Reliability team
- Self confidence
- Reading Indicators
- reward and punishment
- Positive participation with the time work
- Many factors can not be judged only after experimentation
- manager skill