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What are the effective tools to observe trends and results over a specified period of time?

A. Scatter diagram B. Run chart C. Control chart D. Gantt chart

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Question added by Muhammad Farooq , QA-QC MANAGER , AL Bawani contracting co.
Date Posted: 2019/01/02
MURAT MIDIK
by MURAT MIDIK , SAP Project Manager , Spectrum Consulting

Correct Answer is B.: Run Chart

Saiyid Maududi-Oracle Applications Consultant
by Saiyid Maududi-Oracle Applications Consultant , Entrerprise Architect , US Technomatrix, Inc

Hello Team & Happy New Year 2019,

As in most other analyses, in time series analysis it is assumed that the data consist of a systematic pattern (usually a set of identifiable components) and random noise (error) which usually makes the pattern difficult to identify. Most time series analysis techniques involve some form of filtering out noise in order to make the pattern more salient.

There are no proven "automatic" techniques to identify trend components in the time series data; however, as long as the trend is monotonous (consistently increasing or decreasing) that part of data analysis is typically not very difficult. If the time series data contain considerable error, then the first step in the process of trend identification is smoothing.

Smoothing always involves some form of local averaging of data such that the nonsystematic components of individual observations cancel each other out. The most common technique is moving average smoothing which replaces each element of the series by either the simple or weighted average of n surrounding elements, where n is the width of the smoothing "window" (see Box & Jenkins, 1976; Velleman & Hoaglin, 1981). Medians can be used instead of means. The main advantage of median as compared to moving average smoothing is that its results are less biased by outliers (within the smoothing window). Thus, if there are outliers in the data (e.g., due to measurement errors), median smoothing typically produces smoother or at least more "reliable" curves than moving average based on the same window width. The main disadvantage of median smoothing is that in the absence of clear outliers it may produce more "jagged" curves than moving average and it does not allow for weighting.

Muhammad Farooq
by Muhammad Farooq , QA-QC MANAGER , AL Bawani contracting co.

B. Run chart --------------------------