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I would suggest to prepare three scenarios,
Optimistic for investors.
Realistic for the management
Pessimistic for the entrepreneur.
Dear Yazan,
there are various process types commonly used to prepare your financial plans. The one you might refer to at the moment is the so-called "scenario technique" where you make your forecasts based on three alternative scenarios:
* best case
* worst case
* most realistic case (from the present point of view)
The one which is normally used is the realistic one, the other two are only to have an idea about possible deviations and are also very useful for your internal risk management department (wort case scenario).
Having a false forecast is always bad (even when things turn out to be better than forecasted - as paradox as it might sound at first). It is even worse when you realise a deviation and cannot respond to it ( a controllers nightmare).
My answer is: Go with the forecast that is the most realistic at the moment and be aware that things can change. In order to be prepared stake your boundaries by checking the best and the worst case as well and think about your strategies to respond to deviations.
Best regards,
Wolf