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How CFOs Can Use Scenario Planning as a Strategic Tool in an Uncertain Economy?

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Question ajoutée par sameer parkar , Senior Accountant , Al Andalus Trading Company
Date de publication: 2014/05/21
Muhammad Fahad Chughtai
par Muhammad Fahad Chughtai , Management Accountant , Middle East Switchgear Ind. Ltd.

In an uncertain economy, CFOs (or any Financial Planning and Analysis professionals) don't know how the economy will affect their business models. So it is not useful to create just one financial model to forecast profits and cash into the future.

 

 

Scenario Planning allows the firm to test its financial models in different states. e.g. if the firm creates a financial model to forecast it's Costs, Revenues, and Profits, then scenario planning allows the firm to forecast it's costs, revenues, and profits if the economy booms, stagnates, or goes into a recession.

 

However, one must be careful when using Scenario planning. The "scenarios" are predicted as well, and can turn out to be incorrect i.e. some other event can can take place, e.g. a depression, a price shock, or a financial crisis.

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